(The Town Square) – A new study released just days before absentee ballots go out says that Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump are tied in North Carolina, a key state in the election.
With a +/-3% margin of error, the Democratic ticket of Harris and Tim Walz is ahead of the Republican ticket of Trump and J.D. Vance 48% to 47%. According to a study from the ECU Center for Survey Research, only 3% of people are still not sure.
Also, voters did not change their minds about choosing the Minnesota governor or the Ohio senator as vice president, and in fact, it made them more sure of their choice.
Absentee ballots were supposed to be mailed out on Friday, but a judge’s order may delay that because of a lawsuit brought by former presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
The head of the study at East Carolina University, Dr. Peter Francia, said that Kamala Harris had changed the presidential race.
“When Joe Biden was running against Donald Trump, it looked like North Carolina’s electoral college votes would go to the Republican nominee for president for the fourth year in a row.” This time, it seems a lot less likely.
Given that Kamala Harris was chosen as the Democratic candidate, North Carolina is now officially a “toss-up state.”
During the whole race, from Biden to Harris, the Old North State has been in a group of six as a battleground for the middle.
Together, the seven states have 93 electoral college votes. Pennsylvania has 19, North Carolina and Georgia each have 16, Michigan has 15, Arizona has 11, Wisconsin has 10, and Nevada has 6.
Harris wants to do more in North Carolina than just end a four-cycle run. In 1964, Democrat Lyndon B. Johnson won the state and the president. In the 14 elections since then, only two other Democrats have won the state.
And four years later, neither Jimmy Carter (1976) nor Barack Obama (2008) were able to do it again. Carter ended up only serving one term, while Obama overcame the loss to finish eight years in the White House.
Trump is going to Charlotte on Friday to speak to the National Fraternal Order of Police. He has won the state twice before.
In 2016, he beat Hillary Clinton 49.8% to 46.2%, and in 2020, he beat Joe Biden 49.9% to 48.6%. He is trying to stay away from the bad names of the last 60 years, like former President Gerald Ford and Sen. John McCain.
Trump fans were 96% more likely to vote for him or said the choice didn’t affect them. Harris supporters were 97% more likely to vote for her or said the choice didn’t affect them.
In terms of how well the results reflect the votes cast, 78% said they had “a lot of confidence” or “some confidence.”
It was done from August 26th to August 28th, a week after the Democratic National Convention. 920 potential voters were polled, and the pollster says they are 95% sure of the results.
Not only is the race for president very close, but so is the fact that governor candidate Josh Stein confirmed that he would be running against Mark Robinson. In the summer, the Democratic attorney general started to pull ahead and win.
According to a poll released on Tuesday, he is now ahead 47% to 41% of the Republican lieutenant governor, who is very close to Trump. It’s the same 11% who aren’t sure as it was in a June ECU study.
It was asked what problem makes people most likely to vote. As it has been all year, money wins. 30% said inflation and the cost of living in general, and 22% said the economy as a whole. It was third with 14%, just above border security (13%). Health care (4%) got the most votes, followed by other topics.