Polls show that former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are tied in North Carolina, which is a key swing state.
Trump is about to go to the Tarheel State, and FiveThirtyEight’s poll tracker shows that he is only 0.1 points ahead of Harris in the race, with 47.5 percent to 44.4%. This makes it the closest race in the country.
The tracker made by pollster Nate Silver also shows that Trump has a slight lead over Harris by 0.1 points, with 48% to 47.9%. The polling tracker at RealClearPolitics, on the other hand, says that Harris is generally 1.9 points ahead.
Since the beginning of August, right after Harris became the Democratic Party’s presidential candidate, North Carolina has been pretty close. Before that, Trump was ahead of Vice President Joe Biden in the competitive state. Trump won the state twice, in 2016 and 2020.
Trump’s lead has shrunk significantly in all seven battleground states since Harris joined the race, though. No matter who wins, North Carolina is now their state.
In recent studies, this trend has been shown: some show Harris ahead, others Trump ahead, and still others show the vice president and former president tied.
Victory Insights polled 600 likely voters between September 16 and 18 and found that Trump had a 4-point lead. This is the most current poll from the state. There was a +/-4 percentage point mistake range in the poll.
The most recent Morning Consult poll, which was done from September 9th to September 18th, gave Harris a 2-point lead among 1,314 potential voters. This lead was within the poll’s +/-3 percentage point margin of error.
Other polls, like the most recent ones from Emerson College and Cygnal, which were done from September 15–18, show that Trump and Harris are tied among potential voters in the state.
They are both going after the state because the race is so close. Trump is going to visit Wilmington on Saturday. The Trump team says that he will hold a rally while he is in the country to talk about jobs, inflation, and the economy.
“The American Dream is falling apart under Kamala Harris, and hardworking North Carolinians are the ones who have to pay for it.”
Americans still want the same things that people in previous generations did: a place to live, the chance to start a family, and a good retirement. “But Kamala Harris’s bad policies are destroying these hopes all by herself,” the Trump team said in a press release.
It said, “Kamala Harris is failing North Carolina, plain and simple,” after listing how housing and rent prices have gone up in the state.
The American Community Survey says that the median home price in North Carolina went from $193,200 in 2017–19 to $280,600 in 2020–22. This is the seventh-largest percentage rise in the country. Since then, other data shows that prices have kept going up.
Harris and Trump have both laid out plans to lower home prices across the country.
Harris just released a 60-second ad about her economic plan, which focuses on housing and first-time property.
The ad emphasizes important parts of her plan, like building new homes and helping people with down payments. On the other hand, Trump has promised, among other things, to cut back on regulations that slow down the building of new homes.
People in North Carolina are still not sure which candidate they trust on this problem. According to a Morning Consult/Bloomberg poll done in August, after Harris’s plans were made public, North Carolina voters only believed Harris by 3 points (47 percent to 44 percent) to handle the housing problem instead of Trump.
92% of North Carolina voters in the Morning Consult/Bloomberg poll said housing would be “very” or “somewhat” important about who they vote for in November.
The poll tracker at FiveThirtyEight shows that both Trump and Harris have equal chances of winning in North Carolina. The prediction from Silver is that Trump will win the state more than Harris.